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Forex Daily

Strong earnings, fragile conviction

Earnings are coming in strong, but the reaction at the index level fails to match that enthusiasm.

EUR/GBP Price Forecast: Attempting to regain 0.8400 after hitting oversold levels

The Euro (EUR) shows a mild bullish correction against the British Pound (GBP) on Thursday, following a more than 2.7% selloff from late September highs that had pushed the Relative Strength Index to heavily oversold levels in most timeframes.

Oil: Risk premium supported by Gulf tensions – ING

ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Oil prices remain well supported as ICE Brent trades back above $110/bbl following new attacks on Saudi Arabia.

Pension contributions and replacement rates in CEE

Based on OECD data and report on pensions, we look at the broadly positive but far from uniform relationship between mandatory pension contribution rates and projected gross replacement rates.

Euro: Range trading consolidation persists against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann report EUR/USD remains stuck in a tight consolidation, with intraday trade expected between 1.1210 and 1.1250 as momentum indicators stay flat. Over the next one to three weeks they see a narrower 1.1170–1.1270 band containing price action. Their medium-term view is that the early-September decline may have bottomed near 1.1112, allowing a corrective recovery above the 21-day EMA at 1.1280.

Market News

France votes to end stablecoin tax deferral from January 2027

Illustration of a euro banknote under glass beside a balance scale and flow arrow, symbolising a new tax checkpoint for stablecoin conversions

France's National Assembly voted 38-37 to end tax deferral on crypto-to-stablecoin swaps from January 2027, under the 31.4% capital gains levy.

The post France votes to end stablecoin tax deferral from January 2027 appeared first on Forex Crunch.

Tether says Iran-linked USDT volumes fell 94% after freezes

Stylised illustration of a frozen wallet block contained within a blue pane on a dark financial terminal backdrop

Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino says wallet freezes cut Iran-linked USDT volumes 94%, rebutting a Senate report on shadow banking flows. He posted the figures on 19 October.

The post Tether says Iran-linked USDT volumes fell 94% after freezes appeared first on Forex Crunch.

EBA classifies Circle’s USDC as EU’s first ‘significant’ e-money token under MiCA

Stylised illustration of a regulatory oversight handover over abstract market depth bands, in navy, blue and amber

The EBA has classified Circle's USDC as the EU's first significant e-money token under MiCA, with joint EBA-ACPR supervision from 12 November 2026.

The post EBA classifies Circle’s USDC as EU’s first ‘significant’ e-money token under MiCA appeared first on Forex Crunch.

BIS paper: banks can slow stablecoin growth by paying savers more

Stylised financial-terminal illustration of money flow between bank deposits and stablecoins

A BIS working paper finds a one basis point rise in bank deposit rates cut ten-week stablecoin growth from about 15% to about 12%, with USDC more sensitive than USDT.

The post BIS paper: banks can slow stablecoin growth by paying savers more appeared first on Forex Crunch.

MSCI rules could drop Strategy and Metaplanet from indexes from 30 November

Abstract financial illustration of index-driven capital flowing away from a stock, in navy and blue flat vector style

MSCI adopts rules that could remove Strategy and Metaplanet from its global indexes, with the final list of affected companies due on 11 November and removals effective 30 November.

The post MSCI rules could drop Strategy and Metaplanet from indexes from 30 November appeared first on Forex Crunch.

 
 
 

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