May 2011 Blog Posts (30)

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

 

After yesterday's pullback, the EUR/USD shot up today reaching the 1.44s. There is now considerable resistance overhead and the exchange rate will probably fall back down to support at 1.4370 before possibly making another move higher. The point and figure 0.001x3 chart gives a target of 1.4670 – but there is a support and resistance level at 1.4530 and the channel line at 1.4450 which provides a nearer term…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

The price kept on ascending up to 1.4330/40 resistance - 38.2 fibo from 1.4940 level. And at the moment its making attempts to test this barrier, after it has failed to breach it and pulled back downwards. So it now resides at 1.4290/80 level, ready for another attack. Indicators say in favor of further growth, which gives enough reasons to expect the "bullish" scenario to commence - on case 1.4330/40 level is breached, we'll be…

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EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

The EUR/USD pair is still rising in a counter-trend rally. Given the trendline break today a continuation higher is probable, with a target at resistance at 1.4340. A drop, however, could find support at 1.4135. There are no active counts on the point and figure charts indicating a possible balance of forces and the onset of a consolidation move.…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

The EUR/USD has contiued correcting the previous wave down and rallied higher, reaching almost 1.4200 after breaking above the 1.4092 level as forecast. There is a point and figure target higher at 1.4230, which could be reached but nothing above that. The uptrend seems neither particularly weak nor strong so it could continue higher or begin reversing. The correction as a whole has returned 61.8% of the previous decline, it has just…

USDCAD

The Loonie keeps on the rise and made new highs last week, reaching the middle line of the weekly Bollinger bands with a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, while breaking the previous week highs and rising to the daily SMA100 from which it was mildly rejected. As of now, the price has broken that level and continues heading towards the daily SMA200…

USDJPY

The Dollar-Yen has been slowly but steadily climbing along the last two weeks and reached a strong resistance area in the 38.2% and 50% daily Fibonacci retracement levels, with the confluence of both SMA34 and SMA100 and the SMA200 just above. On the weekly charts we have the middle line of the Bollinger bands and the SMA34 also in…

EURCHF

The Euro-Swiss Franc reached our expected target and went below 1.2420 at the 161.8% daily extension, matching January and March lows. The level was broken and retested on Monday, and we are heading further down to our previous continuation targets of 1.2200 and 1.2100 (127% weekly extension and 138.2% extension at the bottom of the…

EURUSD

The Euro-Dollar made a new low last week barely 20 pips below and turned back to the bullish side almost recovering all the fall of the previous week and nearly reaching the 38.2% retracement on the weekly swing low. The daily extension level at 138.2% held the price which went back to around 1.4325, testing the broken level for a…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Previous growth was halted by a strong resistance around 1.4120/30 levels, so the trading pulled back downwards. The price now resides at 1.4070/80. Indicators are still turned up, but only in R% and MACD, SS looks neutral.  Therefore, we should probably expect further correction, thought "bearish" trend is now dominating. When correcting, the price is also likely to test 1.4200/20 resistance level - downtrend channel (red) line. At…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

 

The pair bounced off support as anticipated and although it has been rising it is now close to resistance from trendlines sloping down and may pull back to support at 1.4025. From there, there is the possibility of another rally with 1.4140s as a possible end target given that both the 0.001x3 and the 0.0005x3 charts are showing upside targets to that level.…

EUR/USD: Technical Analysis

Previous forecasts, predicting that 1.4340/50 resistance level would be a significant barrier for the price, came true. Having reached 1.4345 level, the price reversed downwards, so it's currently testing a new local minimum at 1.4000/10 level, mentioned as one of the target levels in the later analyses. Indicators are also turned down, suggesting further decline. However, 1.4000 level is deemed as a significant support level, which…

USDCAD

The Loonie went below the expected bearish target and broke below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement on the daily charts, while ending on a long-wicked spinning top on the weekly. The price recovered and bounced again to the upside crossing back through the daily SMA34 and making a new high but still rejected by the resistance level at…

USDJPY

The Dollar-Yen climbed again to 81.00 as we had expected, nearly reaching the middle line of the daily Bollinger bands. On weekly charts we can appreciate a very small inside doji candle, and markets were mostly consolidating although in a slightly rising move. Price has broken last week’s resistance level 81.30 as to now, reaching the…

EURCHF

Price barely made a new low but turned back and spent all last week consolidating inside the lower bottom range of the previous weekly bearish candle, and ending on a hammer.

On the daily charts the 138.2% Fibonacci extension level was reached and the pair bounced back from a tweezer bottom on Tuesday, almost reaching the…

EURUSD

The Euro-Dollar kept trading lower as expected last week, breaking below its previous weekly lows and nearly reaching the SMA200 level, while on daily charts we can appreciate an extension of its swing low to the 138.2% Fibonacci level, closing above the round number 1.4100 at the end of the week.

Since Sunday open, there has…